ETH $2,304 pinned below converged 50/200-day MA wall at $2,361-67 — not closed above all month. 4H MACD bearish, RSI 29 oversold but bleeding. Sentiment collapsed 71→50 F&G in 7d. CPI-triggered bleed ongoing. Whale buying ($322M) not lifting price = bearish divergence. $2,300 support test likely before any bounce attempt. 78% NO — invalid if reclaims $2,360+ before noon.