ETH at $2,286 testing critical $2,300 support with 6 consecutive daily selloffs from $2,425. 50/200 MA convergence at $2,367 unbroken all month—bearish rejection pattern intact. 4H chart deteriorating, Fear Index 42 without capitulation flush. Break of $2,300 opens $2,211 then $2,100. No catalyst for reversal in 4H window, momentum structurally negative. [72]% NO — invalid if spike above $2,320 reclaims MA cluster.
SOL sitting at $93-95 with 4H bullish structure intact, 50-day MA rising. Key signal: spot ETF inflows hit $39.23M this week — largest since Feb — while OI ripped from $4.83B to $6.35B since May 5. That's fresh capital, not just speculators rotating. Exchange flows flipped to net outflows five sessions straight, classic supply squeeze pattern correlating with the 11% bounce. Fear & Greed at 49 (neutral) removes contrarian pressure either way. Alpenglow upgrade entered community testing May 11, mainnet Q3 hype building. Critical support $94, resistance $95-96. For a 5-min window, momentum favors continuation over reversal. Daily timeframe buy signal still active despite slowing RSI. Risk: if $94 fails intraday, quick flush possible, but flow data suggests buyers step in. Bias: grind higher or consolidate flat, downside less probable given ETF demand and outflow trend. 62% YES — invalid if SOL breaks $94 before open.
