$77,100 spot, 4H breakdown below $77,550 pivot with seller dominance targeting $74,460. TradingView SELL across all frames. Fear at 25 signals oversold but $657M liquidations from Iran tensions still rippling. Strategy's $2B buy failed to lift price — institutions front-running distribution. Support at $76K fragile; need $80K daily close to flip structure. 85% NO — invalid if geopolitical catalyst resolves pre-close.