$80,304 spot price testing critical $80k floor support with dual rejection at $82k resistance. Iran war CPI print + Trump China summit creating macro overhang. Neutral sentiment (48 FnG) offers no conviction catalyst. 2-4hr window insufficient to break $82,228 200-MA ceiling. Bias: sideways chop to mild drawdown. 62% NO — invalid if突破 $81,500 with volume surge.
ETH trading $2,304 after clean rejection at 50/200 MA cluster ($2,361-$2,367)—failed every daily close attempt this month. Four-hour chart bearish, both MAs falling since 09/05. Fear & Greed collapsed 71→50 in 7 days despite whale accumulation of 140k ETH ($322M)—divergence screams distribution into strength. CPI trigger accelerated selloff 3x harder than BTC. Symmetrical triangle compression at $2,340 with lower highs favors breakdown toward $2,250 support. No bounce structure, no momentum recapture. 72% NO — invalid if macro reversal or whale buying resurfaces within window.
