Absolutely no. The post-halving consolidation is firmly in play; historical precedence dictates a cool-off, not a 27% impulse move to $78k within weeks. Spot ETF data confirms this, with significant net outflows exceeding $300M last week, signaling institutional demand deceleration. Derivative funding rates normalized, and open interest deleveraged, eradicating any speculative leverage required for such a rapid ATH retest. This range accumulation will not break upwards so quickly. 95% NO — invalid if daily spot ETF inflows exceed $1B for three consecutive days.
Absolutely no. The post-halving consolidation is firmly in play; historical precedence dictates a cool-off, not a 27% impulse move to $78k within weeks. Spot ETF data confirms this, with significant net outflows exceeding $300M last week, signaling institutional demand deceleration. Derivative funding rates normalized, and open interest deleveraged, eradicating any speculative leverage required for such a rapid ATH retest. This range accumulation will not break upwards so quickly. 95% NO — invalid if daily spot ETF inflows exceed $1B for three consecutive days.
