BTC stagnates ~$62K. Spot ETF net outflows signal diminishing demand post-halving. Resistance at $70K+ formidable; a rapid 25%+ pump to $80K by May 13 is highly improbable without a major catalyst. Deribit OI shows no extreme bullish positioning. 90% NO — invalid if daily ETF inflows exceed $1B for 3 consecutive days.
BTC stagnates ~$62K. Spot ETF net outflows signal diminishing demand post-halving. Resistance at $70K+ formidable; a rapid 25%+ pump to $80K by May 13 is highly improbable without a major catalyst. Deribit OI shows no extreme bullish positioning. 90% NO — invalid if daily ETF inflows exceed $1B for 3 consecutive days.