BTC at $77,119 after failing to hold $78.8K support — liquidation cascade from Iran escalation dumped $657M, now sitting 4.83% down weekly with zero session recovery. Fear Index 25-28 (extreme fear), institutional exodus via $1.039B ETF outflows, technicals screaming strong sell across oscillators and MAs. Next support $76K is 150 bps away, resistance overhead thick at $80.6-81K. No buyer absorption, just consistent distribution. 4:20-4:25 PM window gives bears 2-4 hours to press into support retest. 78% NO — invalid if geopolitical reversal or whale bid wall materializes above $77.5K.
BTC at $77,119 after failing to hold $78.8K support — liquidation cascade from Iran escalation dumped $657M, now sitting 4.83% down weekly with zero session recovery. Fear Index 25-28 (extreme fear), institutional exodus via $1.039B ETF outflows, technicals screaming strong sell across oscillators and MAs. Next support $76K is 150 bps away, resistance overhead thick at $80.6-81K. No buyer absorption, just consistent distribution. 4:20-4:25 PM window gives bears 2-4 hours to press into support retest. 78% NO — invalid if geopolitical reversal or whale bid wall materializes above $77.5K.
