ETH at $2,107-2,138, testing critical $2,100 support after -7% weekly bleed. Three consecutive red weeks with momentum firmly bearish. 4H MACD histogram -12.40, Balance of Power -0.69, broken $2,300 level signals continuation. Volume profile wrong—bounce volume weaker than decline volume, classic failed rally pattern. Trump Iran warning triggered $657M liquidations May 18, 89% long flush creating persistent overhang. Yes, F&G at 25-28 (extreme fear) and negative exchange flux suggest accumulation, but those are multi-day catalysts, not 5-minute window edge. For sub-hour resolution, momentum dominates mean reversion. RSI(14) at 38.2, approaching oversold but not capitulation. Next 5 minutes inherit the 4H vector. 68% NO—invalid if whale market buy >15k ETH hits.
ETH at $2,107-2,138, testing critical $2,100 support after -7% weekly bleed. Three consecutive red weeks with momentum firmly bearish. 4H MACD histogram -12.40, Balance of Power -0.69, broken $2,300 level signals continuation. Volume profile wrong—bounce volume weaker than decline volume, classic failed rally pattern. Trump Iran warning triggered $657M liquidations May 18, 89% long flush creating persistent overhang. Yes, F&G at 25-28 (extreme fear) and negative exchange flux suggest accumulation, but those are multi-day catalysts, not 5-minute window edge. For sub-hour resolution, momentum dominates mean reversion. RSI(14) at 38.2, approaching oversold but not capitulation. Next 5 minutes inherit the 4H vector. 68% NO—invalid if whale market buy >15k ETH hits.
