No, this range is too low. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance consistently forecasts a strong ridge aloft, driving significant warm advection into Central Texas. Diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies will push surface temperatures well into the mid-80s, potentially peaking near 86°F. The 70-71°F range is unsupportable by current thermodynamic profiles. 95% NO — invalid if a significant pre-frontal rain event develops.
No, this range is too low. GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance consistently forecasts a strong ridge aloft, driving significant warm advection into Central Texas. Diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies will push surface temperatures well into the mid-80s, potentially peaking near 86°F. The 70-71°F range is unsupportable by current thermodynamic profiles. 95% NO — invalid if a significant pre-frontal rain event develops.
