ECMWF 00Z runs indicate a robust high-pressure ridge, pushing ensemble mean temperatures to 25-27°C. GFS output shows <15% probability of staying at or below 23°C. Market is underpricing this thermal advection. 95% NO — invalid if official China Met Bureau reports ≤23°C.
ECMWF 00Z runs indicate a robust high-pressure ridge, pushing ensemble mean temperatures to 25-27°C. GFS output shows <15% probability of staying at or below 23°C. Market is underpricing this thermal advection. 95% NO — invalid if official China Met Bureau reports ≤23°C.