Polling aggregates consistently show CAQ holding a commanding 40%+ vote intention, far outpacing fragmented opposition. Legault's robust approval and effective leveraging of identity legislation solidify his incumbency. The CAQ's structural advantage on the electoral map ensures efficient vote conversion, making a significant shift highly improbable given current dynamics. Market undervalues this strong mandate. 95% YES — invalid if Legault resigns before next election or faces unforeseen scandal.
Polling aggregates consistently show CAQ holding a commanding 40%+ vote intention, far outpacing fragmented opposition. Legault's robust approval and effective leveraging of identity legislation solidify his incumbency. The CAQ's structural advantage on the electoral map ensures efficient vote conversion, making a significant shift highly improbable given current dynamics. Market undervalues this strong mandate. 95% YES — invalid if Legault resigns before next election or faces unforeseen scandal.