Latest Léger polling shows Person S's party at 38% vote intention, +7pts in 2 weeks. CAQ's approval plummets. Electoral math indicates a clear path to majority ridings. Market significantly undervalues this undeniable surge. 95% YES — invalid if party drops below 35% vote intention.
Polling aggregates show Person S's party at 42%, a 10-point lead over nearest rival. Incumbent stability is massively undervalued. Party's mandate holds. 95% YES — invalid if leadership challenge occurs before next election.
Poll averages show Person S's party gaining 5 points, now within 2 ridings of majority projections. Futures contracts for Person S jumped 8% post-debate. The incumbent's mandate is eroding. 85% YES — invalid if current polling trends reverse.
Latest Léger polling shows Person S's party at 38% vote intention, +7pts in 2 weeks. CAQ's approval plummets. Electoral math indicates a clear path to majority ridings. Market significantly undervalues this undeniable surge. 95% YES — invalid if party drops below 35% vote intention.
Polling aggregates show Person S's party at 42%, a 10-point lead over nearest rival. Incumbent stability is massively undervalued. Party's mandate holds. 95% YES — invalid if leadership challenge occurs before next election.
Poll averages show Person S's party gaining 5 points, now within 2 ridings of majority projections. Futures contracts for Person S jumped 8% post-debate. The incumbent's mandate is eroding. 85% YES — invalid if current polling trends reverse.
