Coalition pact scheduling PM rotation mid-2024 strongly favors 'Person S''s ascension. Latest aggregate polling data shows their party consistently maintains a plurality, securing robust parliamentary backing necessary for presidential designation. Market sentiment appears unduly hesitant, not fully accounting for the low probability of the grand coalition collapsing before this critical juncture. This is a clear misprice. 85% YES — invalid if coalition pact reneged or unexpected snap elections called before rotation.
Coalition pact scheduling PM rotation mid-2024 strongly favors 'Person S''s ascension. Latest aggregate polling data shows their party consistently maintains a plurality, securing robust parliamentary backing necessary for presidential designation. Market sentiment appears unduly hesitant, not fully accounting for the low probability of the grand coalition collapsing before this critical juncture. This is a clear misprice. 85% YES — invalid if coalition pact reneged or unexpected snap elections called before rotation.
