Betting YES on Griffin's Top 10. The ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic presents a clear field strength arbitrage opportunity; Griffin, currently 230 OWGR, typically struggles in premier events, but his recent T13 at the Cognizant Classic, another weaker field, highlights his capacity for high finishes when top-tier competition is absent. He just logged a +2.1 SG:Approach at Corales, indicating his iron game is spiking at the right time. His seasonal 108th BoB% isn't elite, but his intermittent SG:APP flashes (like +1.5 at Puerto Rico) are sufficient against this caliber of opponent. The new course neutralizes specific course history disadvantages, leveling the playing field. This is a positive EV play on a mid-tier pro finding his form in an accommodating field. 70% YES — invalid if SG:P drops below -2.0 for the first two rounds.
Betting YES on Griffin's Top 10. The ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic presents a clear field strength arbitrage opportunity; Griffin, currently 230 OWGR, typically struggles in premier events, but his recent T13 at the Cognizant Classic, another weaker field, highlights his capacity for high finishes when top-tier competition is absent. He just logged a +2.1 SG:Approach at Corales, indicating his iron game is spiking at the right time. His seasonal 108th BoB% isn't elite, but his intermittent SG:APP flashes (like +1.5 at Puerto Rico) are sufficient against this caliber of opponent. The new course neutralizes specific course history disadvantages, leveling the playing field. This is a positive EV play on a mid-tier pro finding his form in an accommodating field. 70% YES — invalid if SG:P drops below -2.0 for the first two rounds.