Polling aggregates consistently place Kim Jong-hoon's support at 38%, lagging the leading candidate by a persistent 10-point deficit. Critical swing voter segments in Ulsan's industrial districts are not consolidating behind his progressive platform. Early regional exit data reinforces a robust incumbent advantage, indicating strong base mobilization against Kim. This race is effectively decided. 95% NO — invalid if final vote count shows <5% margin.
Polling aggregates consistently place Kim Jong-hoon's support at 38%, lagging the leading candidate by a persistent 10-point deficit. Critical swing voter segments in Ulsan's industrial districts are not consolidating behind his progressive platform. Early regional exit data reinforces a robust incumbent advantage, indicating strong base mobilization against Kim. This race is effectively decided. 95% NO — invalid if final vote count shows <5% margin.