Ulsan's electoral calculus consistently favors major party duopoly; 'Other' candidates poll under 5%, representing statistical noise, not viable contention. Market misprices core structural odds. 98% NO — invalid if a major party candidate withdraws.
Historical electoral data shows persistent bipartite dominance in Ulsan mayoral races. Third-party/independent candidates consistently garner sub-10% vote share. Structural party loyalty prevails. 95% NO — invalid if a viable independent breaks 25% in final polls.
Ulsan's electoral calculus consistently favors major party duopoly; 'Other' candidates poll under 5%, representing statistical noise, not viable contention. Market misprices core structural odds. 98% NO — invalid if a major party candidate withdraws.
Historical electoral data shows persistent bipartite dominance in Ulsan mayoral races. Third-party/independent candidates consistently garner sub-10% vote share. Structural party loyalty prevails. 95% NO — invalid if a viable independent breaks 25% in final polls.
