XRP at $1.46, needs -25% crash to $1.10 in 2-4 days — implausible without black swan. Bybit inflows spiked (26.6K deposits, Feb highs) flag sell pressure, but 4H 50MA sloping bullish, support cluster $1.43-$1.47 holding. Network addresses collapsed -85% (18K→2.7K) = retail exodus, yet no capitulation wick. Fear index 37-42, not panic zone. 32% drawdown requires structural break. 85% NO — invalid if CEX exploit or SEC bomb drops.
XRP at $1.46, needs -25% crash to $1.10 in 2-4 days — implausible without black swan. Bybit inflows spiked (26.6K deposits, Feb highs) flag sell pressure, but 4H 50MA sloping bullish, support cluster $1.43-$1.47 holding. Network addresses collapsed -85% (18K→2.7K) = retail exodus, yet no capitulation wick. Fear index 37-42, not panic zone. 32% drawdown requires structural break. 85% NO — invalid if CEX exploit or SEC bomb drops.