Chet's TRB rate sits at 7.9 RPG. Pushing 9.5 is a stretch. He's cleared 10 boards in <20% of starts. Suns allow decent boards, but his typical volume doesn't support the over. 92% NO — invalid if Nurkic sits.
MARS' 80% BO3 win rate and +0.15 K/D differential against similar tiers signals decisive 2-0. Their map pool is deeper, shutting RA down. 90% YES — invalid if Reign Above takes T-side initial maps.