$82k rejected 4x this week, CPI miss kills rate cut narrative till 2027. Weekly close below $81.4k open w/ F&G collapsing 71→48. Negative funding (-0.0019%) crowds shorts but no breakout catalyst pre-close. $80k support tested—bias down 15min window. 62% NO — invalid if reclaim $81.5k.
$1.46 spot with 32% cushion. Rectangle support at $1.30, institutional ETF bid floor at $1.38. Requires 20%+ cascade in 48h to breach $1.10—zero catalysts justify that. 50-MA upsloping, RSI neutral. 95% YES — invalid if black swan macro shock.
